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A New Fed Regime: Warsh, Policy Direction, and Treasury Market Consequences | Weekly Market Commentary | May 11, 2026

The Post-Powell Transition: As Jerome Powell’s tenure as Federal Reserve (Fed) chair draws to a close, markets are beginning to look beyond the familiar playbook that has guided monetary policy for much of the past decade. A likely transition to a Kevin Warsh–led Fed would represent more than a change in leadership — it could signal a shift in how the central bank interacts with markets, balances transparency with discipline, and defines its own role in the financial system.

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Earnings Likely to Grow Double Digits Again; Will Markets Care? | March 30, 2026

Earnings drive stock prices over time, but not all the time. Clearly, we’re in an environment where stocks are moving on developments in the Mideast and related moves in oil prices and interest rates. At the risk of writing about something that markets may not care much about right now, here we share some thoughts on the upcoming earnings season and the earnings outlook for the rest of the year.

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Laurie Stack

This statement is a testimonial by a client of the financial professional as of 11/07/2024. The client has not been paid or received any other compensation or making these statements. As a result, the client does not receive any material incentives or benefits for providing the testimonial. These views may not be representative of the views of other clients and are not indicative of future performance or success. (Tracking #685558.)

Dr. Roy Pitkin

This statement is a testimonial by a client of the financial professional as of {07/10/2024}. The client has not been paid or received any other compensation for making these statements. As a result, the client does not receive any material incentives or benefits for providing the testimonial. These views may not be representative of the views of other clients and are not indicative of future performance or success. (Tracking #622550)

Mark Olson

This statement is a testimonial by a client of the financial professional as of {07/16/2024}. The client has not been paid or received any other compensation for making these statements. As a result, the client does not receive any material incentives or benefits for providing the testimonial. These views may not be representative of the views of other clients and are not indicative of future performance or success. (Tracking #614236.)

Richard and Victory Grund

This statement is a testimonial by a client of the financial professional as of {02/29/2024}. The client has not been paid or received any other compensation for making these statements. As a result, the client does not receive any material incentives or benefits for providing the testimonial. These views may not be representative of the views of other clients and are not indicative of future performance or success. (Tracking #556941)

Matt Johnson

This statement is a testimonial by a client of the financial professional as of {05/23/2023}. The client has not been paid or received any other compensation for making these statements. As a result, the client does not receive any material incentives or benefits for providing the testimonial. These views may not be representative of the views of other clients and are not indicative of future performance or success. (Tracking #451730-2)

David and Colette Renker

This statement is a testimonial by a client of the financial professional as of {10/25/2023}. The client has not been paid or received any other compensation for making these statements. As a result, the client does not receive any material incentives or benefits for providing the testimonial. These views may not be representative of the views of other clients and are not indicative of future performance or success. (Tracking #515842)

Don DeLair, Headmaster at King’s School of the Desert

This statement is a testimonial by a client of the financial professional as of {02/23/2023}. The client has not been paid or received any other compensation for making these statements. As a result, the client does not receive any material incentives or benefits for providing the testimonial. These views may not be representative of the views of other clients and are not indicative of future performance or success. (Tracking #436116-2)

Judy Sanders

This statement is a testimonial by a client of the financial professional as of {07/13/2023}. The client has not been paid or received any other compensation for making these statements. As a result, the client does not receive any material incentives or benefits for providing the testimonial. These views may not be representative of the views of other clients and are not indicative of future performance or success. (Tracking #457029-1)