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Research

Earnings Need To Do Some Heavy Lifting To Keep This Rally Going | Weekly Market Commentary | July 17, 2023

Earnings season is upon us as some banks and a small handful of other blue chip companies have already reported results for their quarters ending June 30. The results on the surface probably won’t offer much to write home about given consensus estimates imply a 7% year-over-year decline in S&P 500 earnings per share. However, the key question is always what’s priced in, which at least offers an opportunity for markets to react positively, though our best guess is we get the typical upside surprises and guidance reductions, giving this rally a convenient excuse to take a breather.

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Capital Markets: The Essence of American Capitalism | Weekly Market Commentary | July 03, 2023

The long dormant capital markets have recently begun showing signs of interest from institutional investors and deal makers anxious to bring companies to market. While activity remains muted at best, expectations are focused on 2024, when there is a prevailing consensus that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will be finished with its rate hike campaign, and that economic conditions will be resilient enough to underpin a strong capital markets environment.

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Market Responses to Fed (in)Action | Weekly Market Commentary | June 20, 2023

As the economy is likely downshifting, investors should take heed that the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) current stance is eerily similar to early 2007. During that time, the Fed held a tightening bias since they believed the housing market was stabilizing, the economy would continue to expand, and inflation risks remained. Clearly, their expectations were not met as the economy soon fell into recession. That’s not suggesting another 2008 is coming, but rather highlights how fast the economic environment can change.

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Dr. Roy Pitkin

This statement is a testimonial by a client of the financial professional as of {07/10/2024}. The client has not been paid or received any other compensation for making these statements. As a result, the client does not receive any material incentives or benefits for providing the testimonial. These views may not be representative of the views of other clients and are not indicative of future performance or success. (Tracking #622550)

Mark Olson

This statement is a testimonial by a client of the financial professional as of {07/16/2024}. The client has not been paid or received any other compensation for making these statements. As a result, the client does not receive any material incentives or benefits for providing the testimonial. These views may not be representative of the views of other clients and are not indicative of future performance or success. (Tracking #614236.)

Richard and Victory Grund

This statement is a testimonial by a client of the financial professional as of {02/29/2024}. The client has not been paid or received any other compensation for making these statements. As a result, the client does not receive any material incentives or benefits for providing the testimonial. These views may not be representative of the views of other clients and are not indicative of future performance or success. (Tracking #556941)

Matt Johnson

This statement is a testimonial by a client of the financial professional as of {05/23/2023}. The client has not been paid or received any other compensation for making these statements. As a result, the client does not receive any material incentives or benefits for providing the testimonial. These views may not be representative of the views of other clients and are not indicative of future performance or success. (Tracking #451730-2)

David and Colette Renker

This statement is a testimonial by a client of the financial professional as of {10/25/2023}. The client has not been paid or received any other compensation for making these statements. As a result, the client does not receive any material incentives or benefits for providing the testimonial. These views may not be representative of the views of other clients and are not indicative of future performance or success. (Tracking #515842)

Don DeLair, Headmaster at King’s School of the Desert

This statement is a testimonial by a client of the financial professional as of {02/23/2023}. The client has not been paid or received any other compensation for making these statements. As a result, the client does not receive any material incentives or benefits for providing the testimonial. These views may not be representative of the views of other clients and are not indicative of future performance or success. (Tracking #436116-2)

Judy Sanders

This statement is a testimonial by a client of the financial professional as of {07/13/2023}. The client has not been paid or received any other compensation for making these statements. As a result, the client does not receive any material incentives or benefits for providing the testimonial. These views may not be representative of the views of other clients and are not indicative of future performance or success. (Tracking #457029-1)